The Central Bank left the dollar on September 30 above 84

The Central Bank of Russia set the official exchange rate of the US dollar on Wednesday, September 30, at the level of 84.4283, the euro - 96.0625, the yuan - 12.5764. This is reported on the website of the regulator.

On Tuesday, September 29, the Central Bank established the following exchange rates: dollar - 84.4075, euro - 96.2499, yuan - 12.5629.

Thus, the dollar rose by 2.08 kopecks, the euro fell by 18.74 kopecks, and the yuan rose by 1.35 kopecks.

The official rates of the Central Bank of the dollar and the euro are used for settlements on contracts on the futures market of the Moscow Exchange, including futures contracts for the dollar / ruble (Si), euro / ruble (Eu), dollar / yuan (UCNY), euro / dollar (ED), dollar / tenge (UKZT), perpetual futures for the dollar / ruble pair (USDRUBF), euro / ruble (EURRUBF), futures for the RTS index (RTS and RTSM) and a number of other instruments.

The most profitable dollar and euro exchange rates in Moscow on September 29

We publish the most favorable exchange rates in Moscow exchange offices at 18:35 MSK, according to the services "Banks.ru" and "Cash Currency Market" from RBC.

Cheapest dollars

Alfa Bank (Business Center metro station): you can buy dollars for ы85.85, sell for ы84. Bank of Kazan (metro station "Mendeleevskaya"): you can buy dollars for 86.23, sell - for 84.5.

The cheapest euros

PSB (subway stations "Yuzhnaya", "Kutuzovskaya", "Warshavskaya" and others): you can buy euros at 97.9, sell - at 94.31. Transstroybank (Kievskaya metro station): you can buy euros for 98.1, sell for 96.7.

At the auction on Tuesday, September 29, the ruble strengthened against foreign currencies. By 17:11 MSK, the yuan exchange rate (CNY / RUB TOM) on the Moscow Exchange decreased by 0.84% compared to the level to the close of trading of the previous day and amounted to 12.484.

Tool USDRUB TOM at 16:46 MSK decreased by 0.7%, reaching .84.325.

The USDRUB TOM instrument reflects transactions with the dollar/ruble currency pair. Payments are made the next day in rubles. The time of concluding transactions is from 9:00 to 19:00 MSK.

Trading of the currency pair USDRUB TOM was held on the Moscow Exchange until June 2024. Officially, trading in the dollar was suspended after the Moscow Exchange was included in the US sanctions list. The dollar continued to trade on the over-the-counter market, where trading operations are conducted directly between participants, without the mediation of the exchange. Deals on the USDRUB TOM instrument resumed in mid-February.

What now affects the ruble exchange rate

The overall situation on the Russian foreign exchange market now looks balanced, according to the PSB. Against the background of the seasonal increase in the activity of importers, high prices for Russian oil remain, which ensures a sufficient supply of currency on the market. At the same time, the passage of the boundary terms of tax payments on the eve almost did not affect the conjuncture of the foreign exchange market: the volume of exchange trading decreased slightly, but exchange rate quotes remained without significant changes, said Denis Popov, managing expert of the PSB Analytical and Expertise Center.

According to Guzel Protsenko, CEO of Alfa-Forex, in the near future, the end of the September tax period may bring back pressure on the ruble along with continued purchases of foreign currency from the Ministry of Finance under the budget rule. On the other hand, the ruble is supported by high oil prices. In addition, the key rate of the Central Bank at 14% per annum preserves the attractiveness of the national currency, making the market balanced.

What will happen to the ruble exchange rate: expert opinions

In the short term, the PSB allows a temporary shift of the CNY/RUB exchange rate to the upper limit of the current trading range ст12.3-12.8 per yuan against the backdrop of a seasonal decline in foreign currency sales activity by exporters at the beginning of the new month, as well as a mixed news background and possible disruptions with yuan liquidity due to holidays in China: from October 1 to 7, 2026, China will host an official holiday on the occasion of the formation of the PRC.

BCS World of Investments admits the possibility of further strengthening of the Russian currency. The growth of Brent oil prices at the end of August and their fixation above $70 per barrel will increase the supply of currency in the Russian market from October, analysts at BCS World of Investments said. Export prices can change rapidly due to geopolitical reasons, and this affects the flow of currency to the domestic market and, as a result, the volatility of the exchange rate. “Right now, high oil export prices are offsetting some of the falling volumes due to limited shipping in the Azov-Black Sea basin. Otherwise, the ruble would have strengthened even more – as in the spring, when the dollar at its peak approached the mark of е70, said Kirill Kononov, an analyst for the currency market at BCS World of Investments. In the baseline forecast, he expects the dollar exchange rate at the end of the year at е80.9.

At the beginning of 2027, BCS World of Investments expects a weakening of the ruble exchange rate amid a decrease in the cut-off price for the budget rule from $59 to $50 per barrel. This decision of the Ministry of Finance will weaken the rate by about а4, all other things being equal, analysts believe. The average annual dollar exchange rate in 2027 is expected at the level of году85.7 per dollar and году87.3 at the end of the year. Uncertainties add problems with the ports of the Azov-Black Sea basin, and the possibility of redirecting cargo to other ports is limited, added Kirill Kononov.