The Central Bank left the official dollar exchange rate on October 14 below 84

The Central Bank of Russia set the official exchange rate of the US dollar on Wednesday, October 14, at the level of 83.8675, the euro - 93.7723, the yuan - 12.5028. This is reported on the website of the regulator.

On Tuesday, October 13, the Central Bank established the following exchange rates: dollar - 83.9153, euro - 94.0355, yuan - 12.5360.

Thus, the dollar fell by 4.78 kopecks, the euro by 26.32 kopecks, and the yuan by 3.32 kopecks.

The official rates of the Central Bank of the dollar and euros are used for settlements on contracts on the futures market of the Moscow Exchange, including futures contracts for the dollar / ruble (Si), euro / ruble (Eu), dollar / yuan (UCNY), euro / dollar (ED), dollar / tenge (UKZT), perpetual futures for the dollar / ruble pair (USDRUBF), euro / ruble (EURRUBF), futures for the RTS index (RTS and RTSM) and a number of other instruments.

At the auction on Tuesday, October 13, the ruble strengthened against foreign currencies. By 17:25 MSK, the yuan exchange rate (CNY / RUB TOM) on the Moscow Exchange decreased by 0.09% compared to the level before the close of trading on Monday and amounted to 12.5015.

Tool USDRUB TOM at 16:52 GMT fell by 0.2%, reaching .84.19.

The USDRUB TOM instrument reflects transactions with the dollar/ruble currency pair. Payments are made the next day in rubles. The time of concluding transactions is from 9:00 to 19:00 MSK.

Trading of the currency pair USDRUB TOM was held on the Moscow Exchange until June 2024. Officially, trading in the dollar was suspended after the Moscow Exchange was included in the US sanctions list. The dollar continued to trade on the over-the-counter market, where trading operations are conducted directly between participants, without the mediation of the exchange. Deals on the USDRUB TOM instrument resumed in mid-February 2026.

What now affects the ruble exchange rate

The ruble is strengthening against the backdrop of a contraction of the geopolitical risk premium, which occurred due to the conclusion of a diesel deal between Russia and the United States, writes Mikhail Zeltzer, an expert at BCS World Investments.

An additional support factor for the Russian currency is the pause of the Central Bank at the key rate, the expert adds.

However, while the foreign exchange market is driven rather speculative sentiment, says the managing expert of the center of analytics and expertise PSB Denis Popov.

What will happen to the ruble exchange rate next: expert opinions

Vladislav Silayev, a senior trader at Alfa Capital, predicts that in the coming days the dollar will be in the range of ,83-85, the euro - ,93-95 and the yuan - ,12.4-12.7.

By the end of the week, the PSB expects a gradual increase in foreign currency sales activity by exporters in preparation for the payment of taxes in late October, which will be relatively high.

While maintaining the direction of the influence of the news background, the current combination of factors may more noticeably strengthen the ruble in the coming weeks and lead to an update of September highs, believes Denis Popov. This week, the yuan may fall below 12.5, the dollar - 83.

Expensive oil supports the ruble due to the receipt of export revenue, said Freedom Global analyst Vladimir Chernov. Therefore, in October-November, the expert maintains the forecast for the dollar at the level of у80-85.

In December, Freedom Global expects a slight weakening of the ruble and the dollar in the range of 83-88 amid seasonal growth in demand for currency to pay for imports. Closer to the end of 2026, Vladimir Chernov does not exclude the growth of the dollar to 88-93.

The news is supplemented

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