The Central Bank raised the official dollar exchange rate for the weekend and Monday above 82

The Central Bank of Russia set the official exchange rate of the US dollar for the weekend and Monday, November 9, at 82.1386, the euro - 92.1924, the yuan - 12.2651. This is reported on the website of the regulator.

On Friday, November 6, the Central Bank established the following exchange rates: dollar - 81.7947, euro - 92.1581, yuan - 12.2570.

Thus, the dollar rose by 34.39 kopecks, the euro by 3.43 kopecks, and the yuan by 0.81 kopecks.

The official rates of the Central Bank of the dollar and euros are used for settlements on contracts on the futures market of the Moscow Exchange, including futures contracts for the dollar / ruble (Si), euro / ruble (Eu), dollar / yuan (UCNY), euro / dollar (ED), dollar / tenge (UKZT), perpetual futures for the dollar / ruble pair (USDRUBF), euro / ruble (EURRUBF), futures for the RTS index (RTS and RTSM) and a number of other instruments.

At auction on Friday, November 6, the ruble weakened against foreign currencies. By 17:10 MSK, the yuan exchange rate (CNY / RUB TOM) on the Moscow Exchange increased by 0.16% to the close of trading of the previous day and amounted to 12.2395.

The USDRUB TOM instrument gained 0.09%, reaching 82.37.

The USDRUB TOM instrument reflects transactions with the dollar/ruble currency pair. Payments are made the next day in rubles. The time of concluding transactions is from 9:00 to 19:00 MSK.

Trading of the currency pair USDRUB TOM was held on the Moscow Exchange until June 2024. Officially, trading in the dollar was suspended after the Moscow Exchange was included in the US sanctions list. The dollar continued to trade on the over-the-counter market, where trading operations are conducted directly between participants, without the mediation of the exchange. Deals on the USDRUB TOM instrument resumed in mid-February 2026.

What now affects the ruble exchange rate

The decrease in the intensity of the supply of currency after the end of the tax period created the prerequisites for the weakening of the ruble, said the General Director of Alfa-Forex Guzel Protsenko. At the same time, the ruble continues to be supported by the high key rate of the Central Bank and still high oil prices.

In addition, the ruble is now affected by the purchase of currency by the Ministry of Finance, said the expert. And from next week is expected to increase net purchases of currency by the monetary authorities by almost a quarter compared to the previous period.

From November 9 to December 4, the Ministry of Finance will buy currency and gold under the budget rule for у312.6 billion. The daily volume of operations will be Е15.6 billion. For comparison: from October 7 to November 6, the Ministry of Finance under the budget rule bought currency for у12.7 billion per day.

In addition, the Bank of Russia sells daily currency worth у0.58 billion. Thus, net purchases by the monetary authorities will amount to 15.02 billion a day against 12.12 billion a month earlier.

What will happen to the ruble exchange rate next: expert opinions

Calendar factor in the form of a reduced supply of foreign currency from exporters due to the peak of tax payments, the rollback of oil prices, and an increase in foreign currency purchases from Monday under the budget rule form the prerequisites for the Chinese currency to enter the upper half of the range у12-12.5, said Bogdan Zvarich, head of analysis of banking and financial markets at PSB. In case of a further rollback of quotations in the energy market, the yuan may try to reach above the 12.5 mark, which is the closest resistance, the expert warned.

Astra Asset Management Investment Director Dmitry Polevoy admits that in the coming weeks there may be some volatility in the dynamics of exchange rates. At the same time, he did not rule out that the dollar against the ruble will fall below the level of ,80. He said this on the air of the program “Markets.Main” on Radio RBC. At the end of 2026, Dmitry Polevoy predicts fluctuations in the dollar exchange rate in the range of 80–83.

The strategist of "SberInvestment" in the stock market Dmitry Makarov in the baseline scenario expects a smooth weakening of the Russian currency in the near future. He does not rule out that the dollar may rise to ,85 by the end of the quarter. Next year, in the baseline scenario, the average dollar exchange rate may be about ов90, the expert believes.

Alfa Bank also admitted the possibility of weakening the ruble before the end of the year. An important factor affecting the exchange rate will remain export revenues, said chief economist of Alfa Bank Natalia Orlova on the air of the RBC TV channel. The situation on foreign markets remains favorable, Russian oil prices have reached high levels since September, and they remain so far. On the other hand, the Ministry of Finance is increasing the purchase of currency under the budget rule, and this effectively removes the excess supply of currency from the market.

“However, before the end of the year, we may find ourselves in a situation where export revenues will begin to decline if Russian oil prices adjust downwards,” the expert warned. At the same time, the Ministry of Finance will continue to buy quite large volumes under the budget rule, and imports will grow.

As a result, Alfa Bank expects that the dollar against the ruble by the end of the year may rise to 87. The foreign exchange market approached this value at the end of the summer, recalled Natalia Orlova. Since then, however, there has been a “positive surprise” because Russian oil prices have soared since September. In addition, the market is now reacting to the positive geopolitical background, including the news on the diesel deal with the United States. This just determines the shift of the course towards strengthening, the expert explained.

The news is supplemented