The Central Bank left the official dollar exchange rate on November 12 above 82

The Central Bank of Russia set the official exchange rate of the US dollar on Thursday, November 12, at the level of 82.6617, the euro - 92.6968, the yuan - 12.3907. This is reported on the website of the regulator.

On Wednesday, November 11, the Central Bank established the following exchange rates: dollar - 82,5486, euro - 92,3966, yuan - 12,3845.

Thus, the dollar rose by 11.31 kopecks, the euro by 30.02 kopecks, and the yuan by 0.62 kopecks.

The official rates of the Central Bank of the dollar and euros are used for settlements on contracts on the futures market of the Moscow Exchange, including futures contracts for the dollar / ruble (Si), euro / ruble (Eu), dollar / yuan (UCNY), euro / dollar (ED), dollar / tenge (UKZT), perpetual futures for the dollar / ruble pair (USDRUBF), euro / ruble (EURRUBF), futures for the RTS index (RTS and RTSM) and a number of other instruments.

At the auction on Wednesday, November 11, the ruble strengthened against foreign currencies. By 17:03 GMT, the yuan exchange rate (CNY / RUB TOM) on the Moscow Exchange decreased by 0.5% by the close of trading on Monday and amounted to 12.36.

Tool USDRUB TOM at 15:31 MSK decreased by 0.7%, reaching .83.1.

The USDRUB TOM instrument reflects transactions with the dollar/ruble currency pair. Payments are made the next day in rubles. The time of concluding transactions is from 9:00 to 19:00 MSK.

Trading of the currency pair USDRUB TOM was held on the Moscow Exchange until June 2024. Officially, trading in the dollar was suspended after the Moscow Exchange was included in the US sanctions list. The dollar continued to trade on the over-the-counter market, where trading operations are conducted directly between participants, without the mediation of the exchange. Deals on the USDRUB TOM instrument resumed in mid-February 2026.

What now affects the ruble exchange rate

The Russian currency has shown a tendency to weaken over the past two weeks. Pressure on the ruble this week was intensified by increased purchases of currency by the Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Russia, said senior trader at Alfa Capital Vladislav Silayev. At the same time, the exchange rate is supported by currency sales by exporters in the market and the foreign policy background.

Oil prices fell on the background of news about the results of the midterm elections in the United States, but still remain high enough to support the position of the ruble, said senior analyst UK “First” Natalia Vashchelyuk. According to the expert, the speed of normalization of the situation on the oil market will continue to have a significant impact on the Russian foreign exchange market.

What will happen to the ruble exchange rate in November: expert opinions

In November, the foreign exchange market will experience increased volatility, warned in the investment Bank “Sinara”. Analysts admitted the possibility of a slight weakening of the ruble compared to the end of last month, including due to lower oil prices. The potential of its strengthening to some extent will limit the Ministry of Finance, which increased in November the volume of purchases of foreign currency to -15.6 billion. In the baseline scenario, the investment bank expects a lateral movement of the USD/RUB pair in the corridor 81–83.

VTB Moi Investments investment strategist Alexei Mikheev noted that in October the price of Russian oil reached a record in 2014, and given the time lag of two months, this will ensure a large inflow of currency into the domestic market from exporters in the coming weeks. As a result, in the coming weeks, the CNY/RUB rate may remain in the range of е12-12.5, the expert of VTB My Investments said.

The PSB as a whole looks at the prospects of the ruble exchange rate with optimism on the horizon until the end of the month. With the approach of the tax period against the background of expectations of an increase in foreign exchange export earnings, a rollback of currency pairs to the lows of the end of October is not excluded, said Evgeny Loktyukhov, head of the economic and industry analysis department of the PSB. In addition, the Russian currency may receive support from the news background.

In the Criminal Code "First" believe that in the next week in the absence of significant changes in external conditions, the dollar may remain within the existing range of й80-83, the yuan will continue to move in the corridor й12-12.5, and the euro exchange rate within й89-93. If oil prices continue to decline moderately, then by the end of the year the dollar rate may reach на85, Natalia Vashchelyuk believes.

Economist Egor Susin believes that in November-December, the inflow of export revenues should remain high, export taxes will be less, but other ruble costs in December are always high, so the motivation to sell currency from exporters will remain, he said. While some pronounced trend in the exchange rate now does not add up, but the balance still shifts to -85 rather than -80 per dollar by the end of the year, the expert believes. This situation can be observed, among other things, due to the recent decline in prices for non-oil and gas exports, and the loss of part of exports that went through the ports of the Azov-Black Sea basin (ASB), as well as seasonally high imports.

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