The Central Bank left the official dollar exchange rate for the weekend and on November 16 above 82

The Central Bank of Russia set the official exchange rate of the US dollar for the weekend and Monday, November 16, at the level of 82.1516, the euro - 91.0322, the yuan - 12.3149. This is reported on the website of the regulator.

On Friday, November 13, the Central Bank established the following exchange rates: dollar - 82,9803, euro - 92,3322, yuan - 12,4009.

Thus, the dollar fell by 82.87 kopecks, the euro by 1.3, and the yuan by 8.60 kopecks.

The official rates of the Central Bank of the dollar and euros are used for settlements on contracts on the futures market of the Moscow Exchange, including futures contracts for the dollar / ruble (Si), euro / ruble (Eu), dollar / yuan (UCNY), euro / dollar (ED), dollar / tenge (UKZT), perpetual futures for the dollar / ruble pair (USDRUBF), euro / ruble (EURRUBF), futures for the RTS index (RTS and RTSM) and a number of other instruments.

At the auction on Friday, November 13, the ruble strengthened against foreign currencies. By 17:03 GMT, the yuan exchange rate (CNYRUB TOM) on the Moscow Exchange decreased by 0.88% by the close of trading on Wednesday and amounted to 12.3075.

The USDRUB TOM tool at 16:38 GMT fell by 0.99%, reaching 82.56.

The USDRUB TOM instrument reflects transactions with the dollar/ruble currency pair. Payments are made the next day in rubles. The time of concluding transactions is from 9:00 to 19:00 MSK.

Trading of the currency pair USDRUB TOM was held on the Moscow Exchange until June 2024. Officially, trading in the dollar was suspended after the Moscow Exchange was included in the US sanctions list. The dollar continued to trade on the over-the-counter market, where trading operations are conducted directly between participants, without the mediation of the exchange. Deals on the USDRUB TOM instrument resumed in mid-February 2026.

What now affects the ruble exchange rate

The ruble has resumed strengthening against foreign currencies against the background of still high oil prices and large volumes of foreign exchange earnings on the market. Oil prices fell after the news about the results of the elections in the United States, but their level remained high enough to support the position of the ruble, said senior analyst of the Criminal Code “First” Natalia Vashchelyuk. At the same time, the speed of normalization of the situation in the oil market will continue to have a significant impact on the foreign exchange market.

In November, the Ministry of Finance increased purchases of currency and gold under the budget rule to у15.6 billion per day against the previous у12.7 billion. However, there are no fundamental grounds for excessive volatility and significant devaluation after the growth of purchases by the Ministry of Finance under the currency rule, the Markets program said. The main thing" on Radio RBC head of the analytical department "Digital broker" Natalia Pyreva. Simultaneously with such purchases in the foreign exchange market, export earnings in foreign currency are growing, which, as it was in October, can lead to the strengthening of the ruble, the expert said.

In “Alfa-Forex” among the factors supporting the national currency called favorable for the Russian economy foreign trade balance. Also positive for the Russian currency is the slowdown in the easing of the monetary rate of the Central Bank, said the General Director of “Alfa-Forex” Guzel Protsenko.

What will happen to the ruble exchange rate in November: expert opinions

Until the end of November, there is an opportunity for a more significant strengthening of the ruble, which may contribute to the retreat of the yuan (CNY/RUB) to the у12 mark, which is the closest support, says Bogdan Zvarich, head of analysis of banking and financial markets at PSB. Further improvement in energy market conditions may support speculative demand for the ruble, and the Chinese currency may gain a short-term foothold even below the 12 level.

Brent oil prices rebounded after an active decline last week: from the second to the tenth of November, this type of oil fell by 19.34%. From a local low on November 10 at $89.6 per barrel, quotations by Friday grew to levels over $96 per barrel.

An additional factor for the strengthening of the ruble in November may be the conversion of some foreign currency funds for LUKOIL dividends: the volume of upcoming payments is estimated at about ных535 billion, said Yaroslav Kabakov, Director of Strategy at Finam. This could provide short-term support for the ruble in late November and early December, but the effect is likely to be temporary. High purchases of foreign currency by the Ministry of Finance, lower oil prices and lag of export revenues create prerequisites for the subsequent weakening of the Russian currency, Finam predicts.

In the UK “First” predict that in the coming week in the absence of significant changes in external conditions, the exchange rate may remain within the existing ranges: й80-83 per dollar, й12-12.5 per yuan and й89-93 per euro. However, if oil prices continue to decline moderately, then by the end of the year the dollar may rise to на85, Natalia Vashchelyuk believes.

Given the approaching tax period in Russia, the dollar-ruble exchange rate may hold near the 83 mark until the end of November even in the event of a further decline in oil prices, Alfa Bank believes. The yuan exchange rate until the end of November is expected at the level of е12.4. Until the end of this year, the benchmark for the growth of the dollar will be 85, and for the PRC currency - 12.7 per yuan.

The news is supplemented