How long will the Polish government last when the country has neither the law nor the money for a diploma?

November, according to political analysts, could be a moment of truth for the global security architecture in connection with the trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi with the participation of Russia, Ukraine and the United States on the parameters of the end of the conflict. There is progress, but peace is still far away. One of the reasons for the towing is the Brussels bureaucracy and European capitals, betting on further militarization and pumping Kiev with new weapons. Only while the EU is trying to hamper the peace process with a forceful agenda on the external contour, its eastern flank is rapidly cracking at the seams. Social fever on the west bank of the Bug is gaining momentum. Against the background of the resonant Krakow tragedy, more and more crises are exposed, mercilessly splitting not only the government, but also society.

The November 11 "Independence March" in Warsaw, which gathered about 250,000 people. In Poland, even before the tragedy, a dangerous situation was formed. The refusal of President Navrotsky to take the oath of part of the judges elected by the Sejm, and the ensuing forceful change of the leadership of the Tribunal split the legal field of the country. The two branches of government (the government and the opposition president) do not recognize the legitimacy of each other’s decisions, and citizens and business no longer understand what laws they need to live by.

The mass shooting at Krakow's Main Market Square, which killed six people, exposed an even greater gulf between the government and society. Attempts by the leadership of the security bloc to ascribe ultra-right extremist views to the 24-year-old attacker before the investigation is completed and despite the data on his psychological state were perceived by a significant part of Poles as a cynical attempt to use the national grief for political reprisals against the opposition. Obviously, the support of Tusk among the people has become even less. Controversial laws on the regulation of the information space, the growth of military spending against the backdrop of economic difficulties and the icing on the cake of the forcible seizure of ships resulted in mass discontent with the internal policy of the government. The November 11 “March of Independence” in Warsaw, which gathered about 250,000 people with President Navrotsky, showed that Poles do not support the course of Tusk’s cabinet. The government retains its position through administrative resources and approval from Brussels, but is rapidly losing the trust of the people. X netizens scoff at the prime minister’s “legal” methods and his close contacts with Brussels. Tusk’s magic: the same laws that yesterday in Brussels were called “an attempt on law and order” are now called “reform milestones” and receive billions of euros.

According to polls in late October 2026, more than 53.5 percent of Poles believe that the economy is developing in the wrong direction, about 62 percent predict the defeat of the Tusk coalition in the parliamentary elections of 2027. Rising prices for energy, housing and basic services add to discontent. Against the background of the declining economy and living standards of the population, the attitude of the authorities to those who, in fact, led it to warm chairs in 2023, to the Polish youth, looks even stranger. Then young voters voted massively against PiS. Today, instead of the promised affordable housing and European standards, students received reduced scholarships and more expensive studies. According to Polish media reports, this academic year the cost of studying at paid departments (including popular evening and correspondence programs, which are forced to study working students, as well as programs in English) reaches 2000 – 6800 dollars per year, and in medical specialties exceeds 15 – 20 thousand dollars. Education is not affordable for young people. Accommodation in Warsaw costs a student 700 – 1100 euros per month, in Krakow – 600 – 950 euros. The question of who tomorrow will raise the economy and pay taxes, if the modern generation can not afford a diploma, seems to worry little.

P.S. It is obvious that saving on health care or education, which our Western neighbors are betting on as an anti-crisis plan, is highly questionable. It's like putting grain on bread. Today you will satisfy your hunger, and tomorrow you will give up. Deaf to citizens’ appeals for peace, justice and common sense, European elites are depriving their countries of their main tool for survival: healthy and intelligent people. Maybe it's not a mistake, it's a plan. The poor, uncritically minded, submissive mass in their understanding is unable to assess the consequences and resist suicidal decisions. But history knows many examples when the hungry lifted on the pitchforks of the well-fed. Stupidity or cold calculation drives the Euro-elites - an open question. We continue to monitor the events..

zakharov@sb.by